We grade ourselves.
Every single game.
Every report makes an assumption about the next game. After that game is played, we go back and score how well our assumption held up — in the open, on the report, every time. At or above 50% it’s green. Below 50% it’s red. The number always shows. That’s the deal.
What an assumption is
Every report lines both teams up side by side and adds a third column: the assumption for the next game — the direction the recent data leans, per stat and overall. It is the data’s read on what the game may look like. It is not a pick, not a prediction, and not a promise of any outcome. You always make your own call.
How we grade it
We make the call
Before the game, the report’s third column states the assumption — the lean drawn straight from the recent data.
The game is played
We pull the verified final and compare it, point by point, to what we assumed would happen.
We score ourselves
How much of the assumption the game backed up becomes a percentage — printed right on the report.
The 50% line
One simple rule, no spin. At or above 50%, the grade prints green. Below 50%, it prints red. The numerical score is always shown either way — we never hide a miss.
Every game — then the whole year
Each game’s grade stands on its own, and every grade rolls up into an Annual Report where the system grades itself across the full season — one honest, green-or-red number on how often our assumptions held. A track record you can actually see, not a slogan.
Intelligence, held accountable
The Assumption Grade measures the accuracy of our read — whether the game matched the lean — not a win/loss record and not a money record. We are an information service, not a sportsbook. Nothing here is a pick, a prediction, or a promise of winnings. 21+. 1-800-GAMBLER.